Oscar quasipredictions.

With the Golden Satellite nominations (which I haven't looked into too closely yet) announced today, I guess the movie award season is officially open. So I thought it's about time to put my Oscar "predictions" online.

Oh, and this site (like the title says) is not a blog, although it may eventually evolve into one. So why did I feel compelled to put this foreword as if I expected someone to read it? Easy: 1. Because it might get readers by accident (e.g. via Google search). 2. Because if I become a blogging celebrity years from now, I'd be ashamed that my first post was a bare-bones list (and editing it then would feel like cheating somehow). 3. Why not?

Also, for the same three reasons, you (hypothetical you) may expect some additional commentary to my "predictions" in the nearest future.

Welcome to my non-blog, hypothetical readers, and have fun reading on!

Picture:
The Dark Knight
Doubt
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
WALL-E

Director:
Darren Arronofsky, The Wrestler
Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
Mike Leigh, Happy-Go-Lucky
Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight
Gus Van Sant, Milk

Actor:
Richard Jenkins, The Visitor
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn, Milk
Sam Rockwell, Choke
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler

Actress:
Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky
Melissa Leo, Frozen River
Julianne Moore, Blindness
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Kristin Scott Thomas, Il y a longtemps que je t'aime

Supp Actor:
Josh Brolin, Milk
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Eddie Marsan, Happy-Go-Lucky
Brad Pitt, Burn After Reading
Michael Sheen, Frost/Nixon

Supp Actress:
Hiam Abbass, The Visitor
Amy Adams, Doubt
Viola Davis, Doubt
Anjelica Huston, Choke
Debra Winger, Rachel Getting Married

Orig Screenplay:
Dustin Lance Black, Milk
Charlie Kaufman, Synecdoche New York
Tom McCarthy, The Visitor
Andrew Stanton and Jim Reardon, WALL-E
J. Michael Straczynski, Changeling

Adapted Screenplay:
Don McKellar, Blindness
Peter Morgan, Frost/Nixon
Christopher Nolan and Jonathan Nolan, The Dark Knight
Eric Roth, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
John Patrick Shanley, Doubt

Cinematography:
César Charlone, Blindness
Wally Pfister, The Dark Knight
Tom Stern, Changeling
Mandy Walker, Australia
Colin Watkinson, The Fall

Editing:
Changeling
Cloverfield
The Dark Knight
WALL-E
The Wrestler

Art Direction:
Australia
Changeling
City of Ember
The Fall
Revolutionary Road

Costumes:
Changeling
Doubt
The Fall
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
Revolutionary Road

Make-up:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Tropic Thunder

FX:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Iron Man
WALL-E

Sound Mixing:
Appaloosa
The Dark Knight
Defiance
Iron Man
WALL-E

Sound Editing:
The Dark Knight
Defiance
Hancock
Iron Man
WALL-E

Music:
Alexandre Desplat, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
James Newton Howard, Defiance
James Newton Howard, The Happening
Thomas Newman, WALL-E
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull

Song:
"I thought I Lost You", Bolt
"Rock Me Sexy Jesus", Hamlet 2
"All Dressed Up in Love", Sex and the City
"Down to Earth", WALL-E
"The Wrestler", The Wrestler

Animated:
Horton Hears a Who!
Sky Crawlers
WALL-E

Animated Short:
Descendants
Franz Kafka's A Country Doctor
Hungu
Presto
Skhizein

Doc:
The Betrayal - Nerakhoon
Blessed Is the Match: The Life and Death of Hannah Senesh
Fuel
Man on Wire
Trouble The Water

Doc Short:
The Conscience of Nhem En
Smile Pinki
Tongzhi in Love
The Witness From the Balcony of Room 306 

Live Action Short:
The Execution of Solomon Harris
Haber
Salvador (Historia de un milagro cotidiano)
Soft
Victor Gazon

Foreign:
Der Baader Meinhof Komplex, Germany
Los Girasoles Ciegos, Spain
Gomorra, Italy
Rusalka, Russia
Waltz with Bashir, Israel